The June 2013 Alberta catastrophic flooding event – part 2: fine‐scale precipitation and associated features          下载免费PDF全文

B. Kochtubajda  R. E. Stewart  S. Boodoo  J. M. Thériault  Y. Li  A. Liu  C. Mooney  R. Goodson  K. Szeto 《水文研究》2016,30(26):4917-4933

Data obtained from a variety of sources including the Canadian Lightning Detection Network, weather radars, weather stations and operational numerical weather model analyses were used to address the evolution of precipitation during the June 2013 southern Alberta flood. The event was linked to a mid‐level closed low pressure system to the west of the region and a surface low pressure region initially to its south. This configuration brought warm, moist unstable air into the region that led to dramatic, organized convection with an abundance of lightning and some hail. Such conditions occurred in the southern parts of the region whereas the northern parts were devoid of lightning. Initially, precipitation rates were high (extreme 15‐min rainfall rates up to 102 mm h^?1 were measured) but decreased to lower values as the precipitation shifted to long‐lived stratiform conditions. Both the convective and stratiform precipitation components were affected by the topography. Similar flooding events, such as June 2002, have occurred over this region although the 2002 event was colder and precipitation was not associated with substantial convection over southwest Alberta. Copyright © 2016 Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada. Hydrological Processes. © John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Assessing storm surge impacts on coastal inundation due to climate change: case studies of Baltimore and Dorchester County in Maryland     

Li  Ming  Zhang  Fan  Barnes  Samuel  Wang  Xiaohong 《Natural Hazards》2020,103(2):2561-2588

Natural Hazards - Hurricane Isabel (2003) generated record flooding around Chesapeake Bay and caused extensive damage in rural Eastern Shore of Maryland and metropolitan cities like Baltimore....  相似文献   

甘肃省会宁县和定西市安定区退耕农户恩格尔系数差异     

刘璐璐  李锋瑞 《中国沙漠》2019,39(6):192-199

测度退耕还林农户的恩格尔系数并分析其显著影响因素及差异性，对于完善退耕还林政策、巩固退耕还林成果、改善退耕农户贫困状况具有重要的现实意义。选取位于黄土高原丘陵沟壑区的会宁县和定西市安定区退耕户跟踪数据，基于收入、政策、家庭因素等多个层面构建相关经济指标，揭示两个区域退耕户恩格尔系数呈现的基本特征、显著影响因素及其差异性。结果表明：首先，由于自然地理环境和区位相近，会宁县和安定区退耕户恩格尔系数呈现出较为一致的高位波动趋势，消费需求弹性较弱是主要影响因素；其次，退耕还林户补贴率对会宁县恩格尔系数有显著的负向影响，说明退耕还林政策对当地居民经济生活具有显著影响，安定区退耕还林户补贴率对恩格尔系数有显著的正向影响，主要原因是退耕还林补贴额在家庭收入中所占比重较少；最后，会宁县和安定区农户退耕率对恩格尔系数有显著影响，这意味着退耕户的主要收入来源于农业收入。  相似文献   

京津唐地区HFMD时空变异分析与影响因子探测     

张湘雪  王丽  尹礼唱  徐成东  李霞  刘杨 《地球信息科学学报》2019,21(3):398-406

手足口病（HFMD）是一种多发于儿童的常见传染病。近年来,中国HFMD发病人数逐年上升,疾病疫情也日益受到社会广泛关注。虽已有不少相关研究,但对于探测其时空异质性及量化潜在影响因子解释力的研究仍然较少。本文采用地理探测器及贝叶斯时空层次模型,对2009-2013年京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性进行分析,并量化各影响因子及其两两交互作用对HFMD发病率的解释力。结果表明：① HFMD的相对风险存在时间异质性,其发病风险在春夏季（5-7月）达到峰值,而冬季（12-次年2月）发病风险最低;② HFMD的相对风险存在空间异质性,在经济发达的地区HFMD发病率较高;③ 影响HFMD发病率时间异质性的主要气象因子为平均温度、累积降水、相对湿度,解释力分别为0.38,0.27,0.13,且交互作用都大于独自影响的作用,如平均温度和相对湿度、平均温度和降水,平均温度和风速两两交互的解释力分别为0.43, 0.40, 0.42。通过研究京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性以及影响因子的量化状况,为本地区HFMD的预防和控制提供理论依据。  相似文献   

海南岛海岸带土地利用强度与生态承载力分析     

李通  闫敏  陈博伟  张丽  宋茜茜 《测绘通报》2020,(9):54-59

随着海南省进一步开放发展，海岸带区域的土地利用强度逐渐加强，生态保护需求日益增强。利用4期（1990、2000、2009、2015年）海岸带土地利用分类数据，研究海岸带土地开发利用强度，并分析了其生态承载力。结果表明：①耕地和林地是海南岛海岸带地区的主要土地类型。②25年间，海南岛海岸带土地利用强度整体较高且逐年上升，2000—2009年土地利用强度增速最高，达2.03%；海口市和澄迈县土地利用强度4期均值最大，分别为300.5和286.1。③25年来海南岛海岸带生态状况呈下降趋势，57%的海岸带市县实际生态承载压力增长了1倍以上。  相似文献   

Three-dimensional active earth pressure from cohesive backfills with tensile strength cutoff     

Zheng-Wei Li  Tian-Zheng Li  Xiao-Li Yang 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2020,44(7):942-961

Most of previous analyses on the active earth pressure were performed in two-dimensional cases using the Mohr-Coulomb (M-C) failure function to describe the soil strength. However, all failures of retained slopes indicate a somewhat three-dimensional (3D) feature, and the M-C function is found to overestimate the tensile strength of cohesive soil. In this work, a kinematic limit analysis–based approach is developed for computing the 3D active earth pressure resulting from cohesive backfills. The concept of tensile strength cutoff is adopted to implement the reduction or elimination of tensile strength from the strength envelope. An extended 3D horn failure mechanism that is associated with the modified strength envelope is developed to characterize the collapse of retained slopes. The resultant of active earth pressure is evaluated from the work rate balance equation and expressed as an unfactored coefficient. The obtained results indicate that less support provided by the wall is required when allowing the existence of soil cohesion and 3D effects and that eliminating the tensile strength can observably increase the active earth pressure, especially for the backfill with a great level of cohesion.  相似文献   

热液型矿床深部盲矿预测的构造叠加晕实用理想模型及其意义     

李惠 《地质与勘探》2020,56(5):889-897

总结了国内90多个热液型金及铜、银、铅锌、锑、钨等典型有色金属矿床深部盲矿预测的构造叠加晕实用模型的共性，在此基础上建立了热液型矿床深部盲矿预测的构造叠加晕实用理想模型。该实用理想模型对于研究构造叠加晕法在矿区深部盲矿预测建立实用模型及在普查区建立预测参照实用模型均具有重要参考和实用价值。  相似文献   

Decision-making for ecological landslide prevention in tropical rainforests     

Wang  Lunyan  Li  Wenmin  Li  Huimin 《Natural Hazards》2020,103(1):985-1008

Natural Hazards - Landslide disasters in tropical rainforests are becoming increasingly severe. It is a tough task to prevent and control landslide effectively in the tropical rainforests....  相似文献   

Spatiotemporal characteristics of Qinghai Lake ice phenology between 2000 and 2016     

Qi  Miaomiao  Yao  Xiaojun  Li  Xiaofeng  Duan  Hongyu  Gao  Yongpeng  Liu  Juan 《地理学报(英文版)》2019,29(1):115-130

Journal of Geographical Sciences - Lake ice phenology is considered a sensitive indicator of regional climate change. We utilized time series information of this kind extracted from a series of...  相似文献   

中法海洋卫星（CFOSAT）同步观测台风引起的风场和海浪   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

徐莹  刘建强  谢玲玲  孙从容  刘金普  李君益 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(11):158-161

利用中法海洋卫星（CFOSAT）最近观测的风场和海浪场，报道了超强台风玲玲（2019）过境中国近海水域期间台风浪的初步研究结果。结果显示，台风路径右侧风速超过14 m/s大风区的有效波高超过5 m，与理论估算一致。观测主波波长为150 - 180 m，风场为西南向，海浪向东传播。风向和浪向的偏移随台风中心距离增大，接近理论预测。  相似文献